India and Pakistan Near Strategic Standoff after Pahalgam Attack in Kashmir

04/24/2025

Pakistan threatened to suspend its participation in all bilateral agreements with India, including the 1972 Simla Agreement, in a retaliatory move after India said it would suspend its own participation in the Indus Water Treaty and close the land border the day before. 

The Simla Agreement was a peace accord signed by the two countries a few months after Bangladesh became independent from Pakistan. 

In a communique issued following a meeting of the National Security Committee (NSC), Pakistan’s top civil-military decision-making body, Pakistan has warned India that any disruption of its water supply would be considered “an act of war”, adding that it was prepared to respond, “with full force across the complete spectrum of national power”. 

The moves follow India’s response to Tuesday’s attack on tourists in Indian-administered Kashmir, which resulted in the deaths of at least 26 people. 

Following a cabinet meeting on Wednesday, chaired by Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the Indian government announced a series of measures, including the suspension of its part in the 65-year-old Indus Waters Treaty, a pact that allows both countries to irrigate their agricultural lands. 

In a media conference, Indian Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri also announced the closure of the border with Pakistan, slashed the number of Indian diplomatic staff in Pakistan, ordered some Pakistani citizens to leave the country within 48 hours, and expelled Pakistani military attaches posted in India. This response has been soundly interpreted as India blaming Pakistan for the attack in Kashmir. 

The Himalayan territory of Kashmir has been a flashpoint between the two countries since they gained independence from British rule in 1947, with each country controlling parts of Kashmir but claiming it in full. Since independence, the nuclear-armed neighbors have fought four wars, three of them over Kashmir. 

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